Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 145.958188 170.417958 199.533194 237.273953 285.702822 3.469162e+02 4.320967e+02
2025-02-16 113.541628 142.996495 182.188467 240.063404 326.982769 4.595227e+02 6.929823e+02
2025-02-23 96.120089 126.964152 171.075201 242.317367 362.469455 5.755200e+02 1.039975e+03
2025-03-02 85.147383 116.640259 164.286594 247.059866 401.301030 7.157817e+02 1.570635e+03
2025-03-09 76.703672 108.148308 157.928658 249.835852 436.710792 8.709358e+02 2.359319e+03
2025-03-16 68.538003 98.663725 147.961022 243.229591 450.585288 9.874937e+02 3.269656e+03
2025-03-23 64.681648 95.394210 147.653283 254.389684 507.488168 1.265197e+03 5.749187e+03
2025-03-30 58.542776 87.524480 137.945579 244.295098 509.822146 1.381936e+03 7.971757e+03
2025-04-06 54.938105 83.505098 134.574871 246.705332 545.847639 1.660012e+03 1.406848e+04
2025-04-13 51.415689 79.217802 130.050547 245.501808 571.766015 1.936490e+03 2.551065e+04
2025-04-20 49.884035 78.270505 131.778771 259.135327 650.025158 2.605547e+03 8.876434e+04
2025-04-27 49.338378 79.025508 136.972878 282.697632 777.765898 3.940132e+03 2.346457e+06
2025-05-04 45.942703 74.413915 131.061050 277.976447 807.536258 4.767176e+03 NaN
2025-05-11 43.523016 71.473448 128.422411 281.996878 880.177898 6.490459e+03 NaN
2025-05-18 41.293615 68.655185 125.614640 284.835983 952.727641 8.941052e+03 NaN
2025-05-25 39.499729 66.504340 123.974475 290.777796 1049.208732 1.331702e+04 NaN
2025-06-01 37.734838 64.231204 121.719088 294.260228 1139.610027 2.006966e+04 NaN
2025-06-08 35.497408 60.792043 116.269861 285.978663 1154.588820 2.531125e+04 NaN
2025-06-15 34.619214 60.088024 117.302550 299.980530 1335.239433 5.439295e+04 NaN
2025-06-22 32.523698 56.648684 111.186330 287.313014 1313.790634 6.578070e+04 NaN
2025-06-29 31.331658 55.042317 109.479521 290.333323 1422.313329 1.338222e+05 NaN
2025-07-06 30.036723 53.114042 106.730532 288.824830 1495.754040 2.751833e+05 NaN
2025-07-13 29.589861 52.988541 108.620071 305.951786 1777.725933 4.449508e+06 NaN